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Trump lost in 2020 before the attempted January 6 election subversion. He lost before being indicted. These are generally considered the worst this he did.
According to polls:
60% of the general public approve of his indictment.
It is safe to assume that those that approved of the indictment likely won't vote for him.
This doesn't include people that disapprove but still wouldn't vote for him.
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What's really needed and decides most elections are independents
62% of independents approve of his indictment.
Again though, this doesn't include those that disapprove but still wouldn't vote for him.
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Even amongst Republican voters
Only 79% disapprove of his indictment.
That means around 1 out of every 5 Republicans approve of him being indicted. These likely may not vote for him.
It is highly unlikely that a person who didn't have the general support of the public and went on to do more bad things and now doesn't have a backing of the majority of the general public, doesn't have a majority of the independent vote, and doesn't even have full support of his own party will win reelection.
The news just reports as if he has a chance because they know a portion of people and certain demographics fear and are terrified of a Trump reelection so it gets ratings.
According to polls:
60% of the general public approve of his indictment.
It is safe to assume that those that approved of the indictment likely won't vote for him.
This doesn't include people that disapprove but still wouldn't vote for him.
--------------------
What's really needed and decides most elections are independents
62% of independents approve of his indictment.
Again though, this doesn't include those that disapprove but still wouldn't vote for him.
--------------
Even amongst Republican voters
Only 79% disapprove of his indictment.
That means around 1 out of every 5 Republicans approve of him being indicted. These likely may not vote for him.
It is highly unlikely that a person who didn't have the general support of the public and went on to do more bad things and now doesn't have a backing of the majority of the general public, doesn't have a majority of the independent vote, and doesn't even have full support of his own party will win reelection.
The news just reports as if he has a chance because they know a portion of people and certain demographics fear and are terrified of a Trump reelection so it gets ratings.